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Trade within the euro area: why is the Ricardian model relevant?

interpreting economic data

What are the effects of a fiscal stimulus?

In this regular column, Paul Turner of Loughborough University discusses the use of data in economics. In this issue, he explores the UK government budget and the effects of a fiscal stimulus

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In many countries, the financial crisis that began in the late 2000s has led to severe budgetary problems for governments. For example, the need to bailout failing banks has effectively required governments to nationalise these institutions, which has led to dramatic increases in government debt. At the same time, the recession which resulted from the crisis has led to the emergence of large budget deficits for governments that had made expenditure plans based on the assumption of steady growth in output and therefore in tax revenues.

Due to these developments, governments around the world have adopted austerity programmes, in which government expenditure has been cut back (at least relative to planned growth rates). This has arguably led to a deeper and more prolonged recession than would otherwise have been the case because the multiplier effects of falling government expenditure have reinforced the initial negative shock to the economy produced by the financial crisis itself.

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Previous

Patterns of trade

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Trade within the euro area: why is the Ricardian model relevant?

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